CEDM Publications

Journals | Conference Proceedings | Book Chapters | Theses | Reports | Other Publications



“Plans and prospects for coastal flooding in four communities affected by Sandy” – G. Wong-Parodi, B. Fischhoff, B. Strauss,  Weather, Climate, and Society, (2016). [Full Paper]

“Viability of Carbon Capture and Sequestration Retrofits for Existing Coal-Fired Power Plants under an Emission Trading Scheme” – S. Talati, H. Zhai, and M.G. Morgan, Environmental Science & Technology, 50 (23) 12567-12574, DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.6b03175

“The environmental competitiveness of small modular reactors: A life cycle study” – T. Carless, W.M. Griffin, P.S. Fischbeck, Energy, 114 (2016) pp. 84-99. [Full Paper]

“Is It Always Windy Somewhere? Occurrence of Low-Wind-Power Events over Large Areas” – M.A. Handschy, S. Rose, J. Apt,  In Press at Renewable Energy. [Full Paper]

“Variability of the wind turbine power curve” –  M. Bandi, J. Apt, Applied Sciences, 6, 262 [Full Paper]

“China’s wind electricity and cost of carbon mitigation are more expensive than anticipated” – Lam, L., Branstetter, L., Azevedo, I.L., Environmental Research Letters, 11, 8 (2016). [Full Paper]

How much electricity can we save by using direct current circuits in homes? Understanding the potential for electricity savings and assessing feasibility of a transition towards DC powered buildings,” – Glasgo, B., Azevedo, I.L., Hendrickson, C.,  Applied Energy, 180, 66–75 (2016). [Full Paper]

“Consequential life cycle air emissions externalities for plug-in electric vehicles in the PJM interconnection” – A. Weis, P. Jaramillo and J.J. Michalek, Environmental Research Letters, (2016) v11 n2 024009. [Full Paper]

“Should we build wind farms close to load or invest in transmission to access better wind resources in remote areas? A case study in the MISO region,” –  Lamy, J., Jaramillo, P., Azevedo, I.L., Wiser, R., Energy Policy, 96, 341–350 (2016). [Full Paper]

“A Decision Science Approach for Integrating Social Science in Climate and Energy Solutions” – Wong-Parodi, G., Krishnamurti, T., Davis, A.L., Schwartz, D., Fischhoff, B., Nature Climate Change 6 (6): 563–69. doi:10.1038/nclimate2917.


“Is rooftop solar PV at socket parity without subsidies?” – S. Hagerman, P. Jaramillo, G. Morgan, Energy Policy, 89, 84-94. [Full Paper]

“A New Approach of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics Outreach in Climate Change, Energy, and Environmental Decision Making” – F. Faria, K. Klima, I.D. Posen, I.L. Azevedo, Sustainability, 8 (5), 261-271. [Full Paper]

“The realities of risk-cost-benefit analysis” – B. Fischhoff, Science, 350 (6260), aaa6516-1-aaa6516-7.

“Adaptation Frameworks Used by United States Decision-Makers: A Literature Review” – S. Markolf, K. Klima, T. Wong, Environment, Systems and Decisions. 2015. doi:10.​1007/​s10669-015-9572-3. [Full Paper]

“Ice storm frequencies in a warmer climate.” – K. Klima and M.G. Morgan, Climatic Change, 133 (2015) 209-222. [Full Paper]

“Understanding Attitudes and Pro-Environmental Behaviors in a Chilean Community” – N.C. Bronfman, P.C. Cisternas, E. Lopez-Vazquez, C. de la Maza, J.C. Oyanedel, Sustainability, 7 (2015), 14133-14152. [Full Paper]

“A Heat Vulnerability Index and Adaptation Solutions for Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania” – K. Bradford, L. Abrahams, M. Hegglin, K. Klima, Environmental Science & Technology, 29 (2015) 11303-11311. [Full Paper]

“Regional energy rebound effect: The impact of economy-wide and sector level energy efficiency improvement in Georgia, USA” – X. Yu, J. Moreno-Cruz, J.C. Crittenden, Energy Policy, 87 (2015) 250-259. [Full Paper]

“Comparison of Life Cycle Greenhouse Gases from Natural Gas Pathways for Medium and Heavy-Duty Vehicles” – F. Tong, P. Jaramillo, I.L. Azevedo, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 49, No. 12, 2015, 7123-7133.

“Regional Variability and Uncertainty of Electric Vehicle Life Cycle CO2 Emissions across the United States” – M.M. Tamayao, J.J. Michalek, C. Hendrickson, I.L. Azevedo, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 49, No. 14, 2015, 8844-8855.


“An integrated reservoir-power system model for evaluating the impacts of wind integration on hydropower resources” – J.D. Kern, D. Patino-Echeverri, G.W. Characklis, Renewable Energy, Vol. 71, November 2014, 553-562 (doi:10.1016/j.renene/2014/06.014). [ Full Paper ]

“Feasibility of Flexible Technology Standards for Existing Coal-Fired Power Plants and Their Implications for New Technology Development” – D. Patino-Echeverri, UCLA Law Review, Vol. 61, 2014, 1896-1928. [ Full Paper ]

“The Impacts of Wind Power Integration on Sub-Daily Variation in River Flows Downstream of Hydroelectric Dams” – J.D. Kern, D. Patino-Echeverri, G.W. Characklis, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 48, No. 16, 2014, 9844-9851 (doi:10:1021/es405437h). [ Full Paper ]

“Our Knowledge of the World is Often Not Simple: Policymakers should not duck that fact, but should deal with it” – M.G. Morgan, Risk Analysis, Vol. 35, No. 10, 2014, 19-20.

“The Urban Microgrid: Smart Legal and Regulatory Policies to Support Electric Grid Resiliency and Climate Mitigation” – K.B. Jones, J.S. Bartell, D. Nugent, J. Hart, A. Shrestha, Fordham Urban Law Review, Vol. 41, 2014, 1695-1757.

” When Does Unreliable Grid Supply Become Unacceptable Policy? Costs of power supply and outages in rural India” – S.M. Harish, M. G.M. Morgan, E. Subrahmanian, Energy Policy, Vol. 68, 2014, 158-169.

“Communicating scientific uncertainty” – B. Fischhoff, A.L. Davis, Proceedings of the National Academies of Science, Vol. 111 (Supplement 4), 2014, 13664-13671. [ Full Paper ]

“Towards Disaster-resilient Cities: Characterizing Resilience of Infrastructure Systems with Expert Judgments” – S. Chang, T. McDaniels, J. Fox, R. Dhariwal, H. Longstaff, Risk Analysis, 2014 (doi:10.1111/risa.12133). [ Full Paper ]

“Greenhouse Gas Emissions from International Transport” – P. Vaishnav, Issues in Science and Technology, 2014, 25-28. [ Full Paper ]

“Informed public choices for low carbon electricity portfolios using a computer tool” – L.A. Mayer, W. Bruine de Bruin, M.G. Morgan, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 48, 2014, 3640-3648. [ Full Paper ]


“Costs and Benefits of Reducing Fuel Burn and Emissions from Taxiing Aircraft” – P. Vaishnav, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 2400 (December): 65–77. doi:10.3141/2400-08

“A techno-economic assessment of polymer membrane systems for post-combustion carbon capture at coal-fired power plants” – H. Zhai, E. S. Rubin, Environmental Science & Technology, 2013, DOI: 10.1021/es3050604. [ Full Paper ]

“A validation study of lithium-ion cell constant C-rate discharge simulation with Battery Design Studio©” – A. Sakti, J. J. Michalek, S-E Chun, J. F. Whitacre, International Journal of Energy Research, 2013. [ Full Paper ]

“An Effective Method for Modeling Wind Power Forecast Uncertainty” – B. Mauch, J. Apt, P. M. S. Carvalho, M. Small, Energy Systems, Vol. 4, No. 4, 2013, 393-417. [ Full Paper ]

“An Evolutionary Model of Industry Transformation and the Political Sustainability of Emission Control Policies” – S. Isley, R. Lempert, S. Popper, R. Vardavas, RAND TR-1308, 2013.

“Comparative performance and cost assessments of coal and natural gas-fired power plants under a CO2 emission performance standard regulation” H. Zhai, Energy & Fuels, 2013, DOI: 10.1021/ef302018v. [ Full Paper ]

“Comparing Embodied Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Modern Computing and Electronics Products” – P. Teehan, M. Kandlikar, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 47, No. 9, 2013, 3997-4003. [ Full Paper ]

“Coordination of Storage and Generation in Power System Frequency Control using an H-infinity Approach” – D. Zhu, G. Hug-Glanzmann, IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution, Vol. 7, No. 11, 2013, 1263-1271. [ Full Paper ]

“Cost effectiveness of plug-in hybrid electric vehicle battery capacity and charging infrastructure investment for reducing US gasoline consumption” – S. Peterson, J. J. Michalek, Energy Policy, Vol. 52, 2013, 429-438. [ Full Paper ]

“Creating an in-home display: experimental evidence and guidelines for design” – T. Krishnamurti, A. Davis, G. Wong-Parodi, C. Canfield, J. Wang, Applied Energy, Vol. 108, 2013, 448-458. [ Full Paper ]


“A decision support framework for science-based, multi-stakeholder deliberation: A coral reef example” – A.P. Rehr, M.J. Small, P. Bradley, W. Fisher, A. Vega, K. Black, T. Stockton, Environmental Management, Vol. 50, No. 6, 2012, 1204-1218. [ Full Paper ]

“A review of uncertainties in technology experience curves” – S. Yes, E. S. Rubin, Energy Economics, Vol. 34, 2012, 762-771. [ Full Paper ]

“A Simple Model to Account for Regional Inequalities in the Effectiveness of Solar Radiation Management” – J. Moreno-Cruz, K. Ricke, D. W. Keith, Climatic Change, Vol. 110, 2012, 649-668. [ Full paper ]

“An index to assess the health and benefits of the global ocean” – B. S. Halpern, C. Longo, D. Hardy, K. L. McLeod, J. F. Samhouri, S. K. Katona, K. Kleisner, S. E. Lester, J. O’Leary, M. Ranelletti, A. A. Rosenberg, C. Scarborough, E. R. Selig, B. D. Best, D. R. Brumbaugh, F. S. Chapin, L. B. Crowder, K. L. Daly, S. C. Doney, C. Elfes, M. J. Fogarty, S. D. Gaines, K. I. Jacobsen, L. B. Karrer, H. M. Leslie, E. Neeley, D. Pauly, S. Polansky, B. Ris, K. St. Martin, G. S. Stone, U. R. Sumaila, D. Zeller, Nature, Vol. 488, 2012, 615-620. (DOI: 10.1038/nature11397)

“Can a Wind Farm with CAES Survive in the Day-ahead Market?” – B. Mauch, P. M. S. Carvalho, J. Apt, Energy Policy, No. 48, 2012, 584-593. [ Full paper ]

“Chapter 16: Trends and transitions in energy systems” – I. L. Azevedo, Global Energy Assessment: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2012.

“Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems” – S. C. Doney, M. Ruckelshaus, J. E. Duffy, J. P. Barry, F. Chan, C. A. English, H. M. Galindo, J. M. Grebmeier, A. B. Hollowed, N. Knowlton, J. Polovina, N. N. Rabalais, W. J. Sydeman, L. D. Talley, Annual Review of Marine Science, Vol. 4, January 2012, 11-37 (DOI: 10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611). [ Full paper ]

“Climate Policy under Uncertainty: A Case for Geoengineering” – J. Moreno-Cruz, D. W. Keith, Climatic Change, April 2012 (DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0487-4). [ Full paper ]

“Comparative Analyses of Carbon Dioxide Storage Resource Assessment Methodologies” – O. Popova, M. J. Small, S. T. McCoy, B. Karimi, A. C. Thomas, A. Goodman, K. Carter, Environmental Geosciences, Vol. 23, No. 3, 2012, 105-124 (doi: 10.1306/eg.06011212002). [Full Paper ]

“Comparative Analysis of Conventional Oil and Gas and Wind Project Decommissioning Regulations on Federal, State, and County Lands” – D. Changala, M. Dworkin, J. Apt, P. Jaramillo, The Electricity Journal, Vol. 25, No. 1, Jan/Feb 2012, 29-45. [ Full paper ]


“A technical and economic assessment of ammonia-based post-combustion CO2 capture at coal-fired power plants” – P. Versteeg, E. S. Rubin, International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, , Vol. 5, 2011, 1596-1605.

“Applying the science of communication to the communication of science” – B. Fischhoff, Climatic Change, Vol. 108, 2011, 701-705.

“Battery Vehicles Reduce CO2 Emissions” – J. Apt, S. Peterson, J. F. Whitacre, Science, Vol. 333, No. 6044, August 2011, 823 (DOI: 10.1126/science.333.6044.823-a). [ Full paper ]

“Designing Building Energy Efficiency Programs for Greenhouse Gas Reductions” – M. Blackhurst, I. L. Azevedo, S. Matthews, C. T. Hendrickson, Energy Policy, Vol. 39, No. 9, September 2011, 5269-5279. [ Full paper ]

“Does It Make Sense to Modify Tropical Cyclones? A Decision-Analytic Assessment” – K. Klima, M. G. Morgan, I. Grossmann, K. Emanuel, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 45, No. 10, 2011, 4242-4248 (DOI: 10.1021/es104336u). [ Full paper ]

“Economic Incentives and Regulatory Framework for Shale Gas Well Site Reclamation in Pennsylvania” – A. L. Mitchell, E. A. Casman, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 45, No. 22, 2011, 9506-9514 (DOI: 10.1021/es2021796). [ Full paper ]

“Economics of compressed air energy storage to integrate wind power: A case study in ERCOT” – E. Fertig, J. Apt, Energy Policy, Vol. 39, No. 5, May 2011, 2330-2342 (doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2011.01.049). [ Full paper ]

“Expanding the scope of British Columbia’s carbon neutral government mandate” – K. Lau, H. Dowlatabadi,Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions, March 2011 (Eds.: A. Shaw, H. Zerriffi, R. Meyer). [ Full paper ]

“Expert assessments of retrofitting coal-fired power plants with carbon dioxide capture technologies” – T. S. Chung, D. Patino-Echeverri, T. L. Johnson, Energy Policy, Vol. 39, No. 9, September 2011, 5609-5620 (doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2011.04.038). [ Full paper ]

“Global optimization of plug-in hybrid vehicle design and allocation to minimize life cycle greenhouse gas emissions” – C.-S. Shiau, J. J. Michalek, ASME Journal of Mechanical Design, Vol. 133, No. 8, 2011, 1-6.


“Climate change impacts, conservation and protected values: Understanding promotion, ambivalence and resistance to policy change at the world conservation congress” – S. M. Hagerman, T. S. Satterfield, H. Dowlatabadi, Conservation and Society, Vol. 8, No. 4, 2010, 298-311 (DOI: 10.4103/0972-4923.78146). [ Full paper ]

“Compensating for wind variability using co-located natural gas generation and energy storage” – E. Hittinger, J. F. Whitacre, J. Apt, Energy Systems, Vol. 1, No. 4, December 2010, 417-439 (doi: 10.1007/s12667-010-0017-2). [  Full paper ]

“Compensating for wind variability using co-located natural gas generation and energy storage” – E. Hittinger, J. F. Whitacre, J. Apt, Energy Systems, Vol. 1, No. 4, December 2010, 417-439 (doi: 10.1007/s12667-010-0017-2). [  Full paper ]

“Corporate Transparency and Green Management” – A. Vaccaro, D. Patiño-Echeverri, Journal of Business Ethics, 2010, DOI: 10.1007/s10551-010-0435-z.  [ Full paper ]

“Cost of Wind Energy: Comparing Distant Wind Resources to Local Resources in the Midwestern United States” – D. Hoppock, D. Patiño-Echeverri, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 44, 2010, 8758-8765. [ Full paper ]

“Decision-making by Farmers Regarding Ecosystem Services: Factors Affecting Soil Conservation Efforts in Costa Rica” – R. Vignola, T. Koellner, R. W. Scholz, T. McDaniels, Land Use Policy, Vol. 27, No. 4, October 2010, 1132-1142 (doi: 10:1016/j.landusepol.2010.03.003). [ Full paper ]

“Engineering Albedo to Stabilize Global Temperature Produces Diverging Regional Climate Responses” – K. Ricke, M. G. Morgan, M. R. Allen, PNAS, 2010.

“Expert Views on Biodiversity Conservation in an Era of Climate Change” – S. M. Hagerman, H. Dowlatabadi, T. S. Satterfield, T. McDaniels, Global Environmental Change, Vol. 20, No. 1, February 2010, 192-207 (doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.10.005). [ Full paper ]

“Forcing technological change: A case of automobile emissions control technology development in the US” – J. Lee, F. M. Veloso, D. A. Hounshell, E. S. Rubin, Technovation, Vol. 30, 2010, 249-264.

“Implications of Compensating Property-Owners for Geologic Sequestration of CO2″ – R. L. Gresham, S. T. McCoy, J. Apt, M. G. Morgan, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 44, No. 8, 2010, 2897-2903 (DOI: 10.1021/es902948u). [ Full paper ]

Conference Proceedings

Spatial stochastic modeling of sedimentary formations to assess CO2 storage potential. A case study for the Pennsylvania Part of the Appalachian Basin – O. Popova, B. Karimi, S. Rose, S. T. McCoy, M. J. Small, A. C. Thomas, M. G. Morgan, 2013; Proceedings of the STGlobal Conference ‘Science and Technology in Society’, Washington, DC. Awarded with a merit-based Travel Grant.

Reducing the Health Impacts of Emissions from Public Transportation Fleets through Vehicle Scheduling Optimization – B. Gouge, F. Ries, H. Dowlatabadi, 2011; Proceedings of the Air and Waste Management Association 104th Annual Meeting, Orlando, Florida. [  Full Paper ]

Climate Impacts and Biodiversity Conservation: Examining Evolving Environmental Values, Scientific Uncertainties and Policy Preferences – S. M. Hagerman, T. S. Satterfield, H. Dowlatabadi, 2010; DISCCRS V, 2010.

Book Chapters

“Individual differences in decision-making competence across the lifespan” – E.A. Wilhelms, V.F. Reyna, Neuroeconomics, Judgment and Decision Making, New York: Psychology Press, 2014, 219-236.

“Counting civilian casualties: An introduction to recording and estimating nonmilitary deaths in conflict” – T. Seybolt, J. Aronson, B. Fischhoff, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013.  Introduction.

“Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment” – J. Walsh, D. Wuebbles, K. Hayhoe, J. Kossin, K. Kunkel, G. Stephens, P. Thorne, R. Vose, M. Wehner, J. Willis, D. Anderson, S. Doney, R. Feely, P. Hennon. V. Kharin, T. Knutson, F. Landerer, T. Lenton, J. Kennedy, R. Somerville, U.S. Global Change Research Program, 2014, 19-67. (doi:10.7930/J0KW5CXT)

“Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment” – S. Doney, A.A. Rosenberg, M. Alexander, F. Chavez, C.D. Harvell, G. Hofmann, M. Orbach, M. Ruckelshaus, U.S. Global Change Research Program, 2014, 557-578. (doi:10.7930/J0RF5RZW)

“Variable Renewable Energy and the Electricity Grid” – J. Apt, P. Jaramillo and 19 others, RFF Press/Routledge, New York, 2014. Print.

“Carbon Capture and Sequestration: Removing the legal and regulatory barriers” – G.M. Morgan, S. McCoy and 15 others, RFF Press/Routledge, New York: 274 pp., 2012. Print.

“Learning Adaptation: Climate Risk Management in the Insurance Industry” – C. Cook, H. Dowlatabadi, McGill-Queens, 2010. Print.

“Anticipatory Adaptation in Marginalised Communities within Developed Countries” – M. Boyle, H. Dowlatabadi, McGill-Queens, 2010. Print. [ Full paper ]


“Practitioner Perspectives Matter: Public Policy and Private Investment in the U.S. Electric Power Sector” – M. J. Barradale, UC Berkeley Energy and Resources Department, 2010.

“Developing Useful Long-Term Energy Projections in the Face of Climate Change” – V. Schweizer, Carnegie Mellon University Department of Engineering and Public Policy, 2010.

“An Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Policy, Air Quality and Traffic Safety for Passenger Cars in the UK ” – E. Mazzi, University of British Columbia, 2010.

“Life Cycle GHG Emissions from Malaysian Oil Palm Bioenergy Development: The Impact on Transportation Sector’s Energy Security” – M. N. A. Hassan, Carnegie Mellon University, Qualifying Exam Paper for Engineering and Public Policy, January 2010.

“Edison Revisited: An Assessment of Direct Current Circuits for Lighting in Commercial Buildings” – B. A. Thomas, Carnegie Mellon University, Qualifying Exam Paper for Engineering and Public Policy, January 2010.


“The Rebound Effect: Implications of Consumer Behaviour for Robuse Energy Policies – A review of the literature on the rebound effect in energy efficiency and report from expert workshops” – I.L. Azevedo, B. Sonnberger, B. Thomas, G.M. Morgan, International Risk Governance Council, 2014. [ Full Paper ]

“Responding To Climate Change: Sockeye salmon, fishing and the St’at’imec People” – C. Jacob, T. McDaniels, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2010.

“Geoengineering: Revisiting the Economics of Climate Change” – J. Moreno-Cruz, S. Smulders, University of Calgary, Energy and Environmental Systems Group and Economics Department, 2010

“Expert Judgments about Transient Climate Response to Alternative Trajectories of Radiative Forcing” – K. Zickfield, M. G. Morgan, D. Frame, D. W. Keith, Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 2010. [Full paper ]

“British Columbia’s Carbon Neutral Government: A Critical Evaluation” – K. Lau, H. Dowlatabadi, University of British Columbia, 2010.

Other publications

“Opinion: B.C. Hydro and duty of care” – D. Izony, H. Dowlatabadi, Vancouver Sun, 29 September 2016. [Full Article]

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle LiFePO4 battery life implications of thermal management, driving conditions, and regional climate” – T. Yuksel, S. Litster, V. Viswanathan, and J.J. Michalek (2016)  Journal of Power Sources, v338 n15 p49-64.


“Opinion: Wanted: Climate policies that work” – D. Boyd, H. Dowlatabadi, U. Valiante, Vancouver Sun, 6 July 2016. [Full Article]

“Multi-criteria assessment of a mixed-mode ventilated office building” – M. Salehi, G. Ebrahimi, W.K. Bushe, H. Dowlatabadi, McMaster University Press. [Full Paper]

“Innovacion, la clave para combatir el cambio climatico” – E.S. Rubin, Diaria, December 14, 2015. [Full Piece]

” Ice Storm Frequencies in a Warmer Climate”: Letter – K. Klima, M.G. Morgan, Climactic Change, 2015 (10.1007/s10584-015-1460-9).

“Assessment of Technologies for Reducing the Fuel Consumption of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles” – I.L. Azevedo, Natioal Research Council, 2014.

“Rape self-defense strategies: A review of their effectiveness” – L. Furby, B. Fischhof, Victimology (In Press).

“Science is useful, only if we know how good it is” – B. Fischhoff, In Press.

“Risk perception and communication” – R. Detels, M. Guillford, Q.A. Karim, C.C. Tan, Oxford Textbook of Public Health, Sixth Edition. Oxford: Oxford University Press, In Press.